Arsenal vs. Brentford Preview

Arsenal clashes with Brentford in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Everton on Saturday while Brentford had a 0-0 home draw against Chelsea on Sunday.

Arsenal is in second place in the Premier League standings with 62 points in 31 games while Brentford is in 12th place with 42 points in 31 games.

The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Martinelli, who has six goals and four assists in 26 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Gabriel Martinelli a 32.74 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 57 SCA and 5 GCA in 26 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. 

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• Arsenal 1.39
• Brentford 7.20
• Draw 4.90

Spread 

• Arsenal -1, -1.5 (1.85)
• Brentford +1, +1.5 (1.96)

Total

• Over 2.5, 3 (1.81)
• Under 2.5 (1.98)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 14 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Gabriel Martinelli has a 32.74 percent chance to score. He averages 1.84 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.

For Brentford, Bryan Mbeumo has a 27.12 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.  

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal 1.39

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.07 to Brentford 1.13.